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By Curzio ResearchMarch 21, 2025

How to find bargains—and avoid losers—in a selloff

What would you do if a stock on your watchlist lost 25% of its value?

Would you buy the dip—or steer clear?

If your answer is, “It depends,” you’re thinking like a smart investor.

Because every selloff is different: Not every discount is a deal… and not every price dip is a warning.

In today’s environment—where investors face massive uncertainty about tariffs, geopolitical conflicts, and overall economic stability—volatility is par for the course.

We’re seeing strong companies pull back sharply alongside weaker ones. That creates opportunity… but also risk.

Let’s take a look at how to spot a true bargain during the selloff… and what to steer clear of.

What drives a stock decline?

When a stock plunges, it usually comes down to one of two things:

  • Company-specific issues – disappointing earnings, rising debt, slowing growth, regulatory problems, or competitive threats.
  • Macro-driven selling – broader market weakness, sector rotations, inflation fears, or geopolitical shocks.

Understanding the reason for the decline is critical.

Stocks hit by temporary market pressures—but with strong fundamentals—can become high-conviction buying opportunities. On the other hand, stocks facing long-term business deterioration might still be expensive, even after a steep drop.

What to look for in a quality pullback

The best buying opportunities tend to share a few characteristics:

  • Strong, profitable business models
  • Healthy balance sheets with low debt
  • Consistent free cash flow
  • Durable competitive advantages (brands, patents, customer loyalty)
  • Shareholder-friendly policies like dividends or buybacks

Think of companies with dominant positions in their industries—firms that can weather slowdowns and still grow over time. Stocks like these may dip due to market sentiment or macro worries, but their long-term potential remains intact.

Pullback red flags to avoid

Some stocks fall—and keep falling—for good reasons.

Avoid companies that:

  • Have seen a clear decline in earnings quality or growth potential
  • Are over-leveraged with little room to maneuver
  • Depend on speculative trends or unsustainable hype
  • Trade at lofty valuations despite slowing momentum
  • Are in an economically sensitive or discretionary sector

Just because a stock is down 50% doesn’t mean it’s a bargain. It might just be getting started on its way down.

Bottom line: Don’t buy blindly

When stocks fall across the board, it’s tempting to scoop up anything that looks “cheap.” But disciplined investors know the difference between a high-quality business temporarily mispriced by the market… and a structurally weak company finally being priced correctly.

The key is to stay focused on fundamentals, not headlines.

Stick to a strategy. Look for quality. Be patient.

That’s how you turn volatility into long-term opportunity.

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